Majorities in each state say that the economy there is worsening (63% in Arizona, 57% in Nevada), while a scant share in either state say things are improving (15% in Nevada, 6% in Arizona).īut neither Masters nor Laxalt, who were both endorsed by former President Donald Trump during their primaries, are viewed as favorably as the Democratic senators they are seeking to unseat – a factor that could work against them in the closing weeks of the campaign. 14% abortion in Nevada, 41% economy to 17% abortion in Arizona). Both of the sitting Democratic senators won their seats by narrow, 2-point margins in presidential years, typically higher turnout contests than midterm elections.Įconomic issues are the clear top concern for Arizonans and Nevadans, the polls found, with more than twice as many voters citing economy and inflation as their top issue as they did the second-place issue in each state, abortion (44% economy vs. Arizona and Nevada have proved pivotal in recent election cycles. Republican voters in both Arizona and Nevada also express stronger motivation to turn out to vote (in each state, 62% of Republican registered voters say they are extremely motivated to vote versus 52% of Democrats).īoth races are crucial in the battle for control of the evenly divided Senate, where Democrats are defending a narrow majority held up by Vice President Kamala Harris’ tie-breaking vote.

Voters in both states are more likely to say the country will be better off than worse off if Republicans are in control of Congress (among registered voters, 44% to 35% in Nevada, 44% to 38% in Arizona), and President Joe Biden’s approval ratings break negative (39% approve and 60% disapprove in each state). The polls suggest the underlying political climate in each state favors the GOP. The 10 Senate seats most likely to flip in 2022 (Graeme Sloan/Sipa USA)(Sipa via AP Images) Graeme Sloan/Sipa/AP Capitol Building, in Washington, D.C., on Tuesday, September 13, 2022.

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